cheltenham races

Aintree 2.15

This looks an extremely poor renewal of this race. You normally get the Arkle winner showing up here, but apparently Simonsig heads to Ayr next week instead. In saying that, these bad races tend to give us a chance to confidently take on the overrated market leaders like Alderwood, Overturn & Baily Green. Alderwood comes here off the back of a handicap win at the Cheltenham Festival which he achieved off a mark of 140. Before that he had lost two of his three starts and recorded his only win in a beginners chase. This is a Grade 1. Do you want to back a horse like that at 2/1? I don't. I was staunchly against Overturn in the Arkle and he proved me right by trailing home a bad fourth. He still hasn't won a race of any note and couldn't place in his only attempt. 2/1? No thanks. Baily Green was 33/1 for the Arkle and is now 3/1 for this due to his excellent run in that race. Outside of the favourite though, the Arkle was a terrible race this year and he was the best of a bad bunch in behind. He may run well again here, but would he have been a 33/1 shot at Cheltenham if he was that good? I'll pass on him too. Now we'll move on to the likely winner. Sire De Grugy treated Cantlow with contempt on his last start at Lingfield. That horse was well fancied to win a handicap at the festival before a bloody nose ruled him out at the post. On his penultimate start, the Gary Moore inmate was a two length runner up in the November Grade 2 at Cheltenham to Captain Conan, who ran well at both spring festivals and would have possibly won the Arkle if connections had allowed him to take his chance in that race. I'm not saying this horse is a certainty by any means, but he is definitely the best value bet at 9/1 in this poor Grade 1.

Comments

Satapathy

Aintree 5.45

We've left the best bet of the meeting until last, as Purple Bay is my nap of the festival. This horse ran an excellent race when fifth at Cheltenham despite enduring a very rough passage throughout that contest. Although he was very unlikely to beat the winner, he definitely would have finished closer with a trouble free run. He's the highest placed finisher from that race to come here and the record of such horses is pretty good making him look an excellent bet at 7/1.

González

Ladys Day at Aintree today, 2.00 My Tent Or Yours, 2.30 Rocky Creek, 3.05 Sprinter Sacre and 4.15 At Fishers Cross, get on them gambling facebookers

Abe

@RebeccaBenson_ I know as I backed him at Cheltenham...!!!! His a waste but as said big races he picks the bigger horses sooo... Who knows!

Zhū

Cheltenham Day 2009 - Homemade Boat Race

Kaneko

Steam into Overturn at 3/1

Malakar

View from Balcony Box at Cheltenham

Bell

@tonyccfc14 first three races my tent or yours, dynaste and sprinter only problem is first two have had hard Cheltenham races

Pérez

DBS 67017 ARRIVES AT CHELTENHAM WITH 1Z18 TOTE SPORT RACE SPECIAL 160312

Bailey

@colby007payne mate I went Cheltenham races few weeks back #lostafortune #putthemalldown #lasangne

Biton

Cheltenham Form @ Aintree - Day 3 races - Micko70 Blog http://t.co/meGS6rrNwN undefined

Patel

2012 Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle

Watanabe

@JadeNiblett @LaurenNiblett1 no there was horse racing! It was called cheltenham races I think

Sadangi

The Outside Chance Bar in the evening at the Cheltenham Paddy Power meeting

Mandadapu

Aintree 5.10

The Aintree equivalent of the Martin Pipe race at Cheltenham, even though this was here first. Not a contest to get too bogged down in, as it's almost impossible to fancy anything strongly. I'm going to plump for the Evan Williams trained Zarzal. This horse was contesting graded hurdles last season, twice finishing third to the high class Grumeti. He has been competing in lesser company since and was an easy winner on his last run at Ludlow. Should give us an interest if nothing else.

Robinson

TOWIE Jessica Wright Cheltenham Race Festival Give away in London

Harada

billy cheltenham races

Davies

Yayyyy love winning on the horses

Mitchell

cheltenham races 2011

Rodríguez

Cheltenham Race 1st January 2012

Gray

Shame no bookies are going 1/4 odds all races at Aintree as at Cheltenham. :(

Yoshida

Just put a bet on
My tent or yours
Sprinter sacre
Dynaste
At fishers cross all to win.

Kobayashi

5.45: JOHN SMITH’S CHAMPION NATIONAL HUNT FLAT RACE
Those close to Mick Channon’s yard are still licking their wounds following the defeat of Sgt Reckless at Cheltenham. Nothing has come to light following that run, with the view held that he possibly didn’t take to the place. That is a more likely explanation than lack of stamina, even though he is a horse who shows plenty of speed. What seems probable is that the sharper track and good ground will suit him far better than Cheltenham and, in the light of the class this horse shows in his work at home, he must be given another chance.
The field is packed with untapped talent. Fair Loch showed a good turn
of foot at Catterick. Dance Of Time, a winner at Doncaster and Southwell, has loads of scope and is one for the future. Master Malt has potential and Monkey Kingdom showed a good attitude to win at Ludlow and Ffos Las. Pure Science ran well in the Cheltenham bumper and Tistory, who makes his debut for Nicky Henderson, was very useful in France. Purple Bay ran a good fifth at Cheltenham, having beaten Wilde Blue Yonder by a head on his debut at Doncaster.
• I have to give another chance to Sgt Reckless in the hope that this better ground and flatter track will show him in a better light than at Cheltenham.

Upadhyay

Cheltenham Festival | Ladies Day Preview with Stuart Holmes

Kamala

Had the winner of the National last two years .. time to keep the streak going tomorrow :D

Cruz

@derekblaney the form of Cheltenham races very strong at aintree every year #readtheform

Cooper

Can The New One repeat his impressive Cheltenham performance in the next? Or will one of the older boys take the spoils? #Aintree

Fukuda

Hoping for better luck this weekend but thoughts on the racing from Aintree tomorrow are below.

1.45 – Interesting race to kick off with. Dodging Bullets ran no race at Cheltenham LTO but has every chance if putting that race behind him and handling the step up in trip. Eduard is also untried over the trip and the trainer isn’t in the best of form so best watched. Up & Go avoided Cheltenham and looks to have been trained with this in mind. A definite improver but the ground is a bit of an unknown. Utope Des Bordes has won in better class in France but this is a tricky race not without the chance of getting in the places

Top Tip: Up & Go
One to watch: Utope Des Bordes

2.15 – I tipped Alderwood at the festival and he ran a blinder, if that hasn’t taken much out of him he has a big chance in this. Bailey Green was another that ran well at the festival and is a reliable jumper. Overturn is likely to run better at this track having ran poorly LTO. Marshal Zukhov is the best of the rest and might run to a place. Forgiving a poor run LTO I’m drawn to Overturn with Alderwood and Bailey Wood running him close. This one could be a photo finish I just hope I’m wrong to desert Alderwood.

Top Tip: Overturn
One to watch: Bailey Wood

2.50 – A very competitive race and a case can be made for a number of these which makes it a difficult one to call. Solwhit ran a blinder last month but I’ve a feeling that the race may have taken its toll so I’m prepared to take him on. Smad Place is yet to win over this distance so it may be another placed run at best. Holywell and Medinas both won at Cheltenham and both have chances if not feeling the after effects of tough races. Grand Crus looked a world beater 12 months ago but he has been below par this year, missing Cheltenham might be a blessing and I hopeful of a return to form in a race when conditions suit.

Top Tip: Grand Crus
One to watch: Holywell

3.25 – Another difficult puzzle to solve. Opening Batsman is improving but carrying 11st 12lbs might be his undoing. Battle Group won easily on Thursday and has a great chance if turning out again. Duke of Lucca was 3rd to Opening Batsman in Feb and seems to be held on that run. Tour Des Champs was one I liked for Cheltenham and isn’t without a chance here, yard in good form. Johns Spirit could run a bit race at a big price if able to keep jumping errors to a minimum. Planet of Sound makes up my shortlist and is one of the classier runners in the race with conditions to suit. I’m going to take a chance on Tour Des Champ with a small saver on Planet of Sound

Top Tip: Tour Des Champ/ Planet of Sound
One to Watch: Johns Spirit

4.15 – See my earlier write up on the big race. Seabass likely to be favourite now, lots of people latching onto last years run and a female jockey. Can Katie Walsh be the first female winner of the National??

5.10 – Not a fan of Amateur jockey races so not looked into this race as much as normal. Shortlist of Cry of Freedom, Local Hero, Meganisi, Changing the Guard, Kians Delight and Le Barcardy. Of these the one of most interest is Local Hero who is more than capable of taking this after a break. Meganasi not without a chance

Top Tip: Local Hero
One to Watch: Kians Delight

5.45 – National Hunt flat races not my bag either so I’ll just plump for Purple Bay.